History and the Black Swan

I was reading an article prior to the Asia cup final between India and Sri Lanka which was titled "History is with Sri Lanka". It went on to quote numerous statistics and trivia to highlight the fact that India have had an ordinary record in finals of tournaments involving more than two countries over the past couple of years or so. Added to the fact that India last won an Asia cup 15 years back and obituaries were almost written that India was doomed and all the odds were against them winning the cup. At this point I was reminded of The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb of how events have a knack of making all pundits and their predictions look stupid!
        While pondering over this, I realized that in sports 15 years is as good as a millennium! I elaborate how: take the example of the people playing in the team now - Denesh Karthik, Virat Kohli, Raina et al are all less than 25 years of age. 15 years back they would have been 10 year old kids !! How the heck is something that happened that far back even going to affect them (it should not for sanity's sake!). As it turned out, India went on to win by a margin of 81 runs - that is huge by all means and someone who watched the match would know that it was almost a one-sided affair for most of the match. So much for "History is with xyz..."
         The point is, history is just that - past, bygone, done and over! In any walk of life, you can only know so much by virtue of what happened in the past. There is not an iota of guarantee that the future would be anything on the same lines! Look at what happened in the football world cup - all the big guns barring Brazil and Argentina are struggling to advance in the competition. There opponents have no "history" of beating them yet that is exactly what they are doing! At best, a good performance in the past only adds to the pressure. I would rather take the present on its own merit without being bogged down or weighed down by the "history"